hit counter script IEA Economist Warns about World Oil Supplyi

Posted by Gail the Actuary on August 3, 2009 - 9:15am
Topic: Supply/Production
Tags: fatih birol, iea, original, peak oil, world oil production, world oil supplies [list all tags]

The UK newspaper the Independent today is featuring an article titled Warning: Oil supplies are running out fast. The article is based on an interview with Fatih Birol, Chief Economist of the International Energy Association.

In a stark warning to Britain and the other Western powers, Dr Birol said that the market power of the very few oil-producing countries that hold substantial reserves of oil – mostly in the Middle East – would increase rapidly as the oil crisis begins to grip after 2010.

"One day we will run out of oil, it is not today or tomorrow, but one day we will run out of oil and we have to leave oil before oil leaves us, and we have to prepare ourselves for that day," Dr Birol said. "The earlier we start, the better, because all of our economic and social system is based on oil, so to change from that will take a lot of time and a lot of money and we should take this issue very seriously," he said.

"The market power of the very few oil-producing countries, mainly in the Middle East, will increase very quickly. They already have about 40 per cent share of the oil market and this will increase much more strongly in the future," he said.

There is now a real risk of a crunch in the oil supply after next year when demand picks up because not enough is being done to build up new supplies of oil to compensate for the rapid decline in existing fields.